Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009633 0.011474 0.013723 0.016723 0.020704 0.025929 0.033525
2025-06-01 0.007051 0.009069 0.011828 0.016036 0.022606 0.033112 0.052797
2025-06-08 0.005962 0.008080 0.011212 0.016486 0.025868 0.043708 0.086749
2025-06-15 0.005111 0.007180 0.010413 0.016265 0.027785 0.053112 0.130777
2025-06-22 0.004364 0.006279 0.009384 0.015297 0.027822 0.058636 0.174898
2025-06-29 0.003962 0.005844 0.009021 0.015413 0.030131 0.071601 0.279079
2025-07-06 0.003705 0.005601 0.008932 0.016023 0.033878 0.092660 0.523190
2025-07-13 0.003558 0.005519 0.009109 0.017238 0.039888 0.130266 1.330902
2025-07-20 0.003362 0.005319 0.009022 0.017831 0.044568 0.171981 3.779394
2025-07-27 0.003143 0.005049 0.008746 0.017894 0.047683 0.213947 13.077097
2025-08-03 0.002959 0.004821 0.008520 0.018024 0.051215 0.270833 130.730604
2025-08-10 0.002740 0.004504 0.008061 0.017423 0.051648 0.306883 34725.591812
2025-08-17 0.002490 0.004124 0.007460 0.016421 0.050508 0.334179 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002290 0.003825 0.007006 0.015757 0.050670 0.384723 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002187 0.003706 0.006935 0.016197 0.056470 0.565408 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002055 0.003516 0.006672 0.015982 0.058937 0.732448 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001896 0.003256 0.006213 0.015036 0.056753 0.776576 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001811 0.003142 0.006087 0.015149 0.061027 1.121448 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001758 0.003089 0.006101 0.015745 0.069251 2.040085 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001734 0.003095 0.006263 0.016931 0.083843 5.747869 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001683 0.003039 0.006258 0.017509 0.095113 17.014028 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001617 0.002941 0.006131 0.017571 0.102153 52.450595 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001557 0.002855 0.006025 0.017698 0.110540 412.466976 NaN